Den svenska och amerikanska högern
En intressant sak som jag har bloggat om flera ggr är den markanta kontrasten mellan den svenska och den amerikanska högern. Den svenska högern är, tror jag i alla fall, mer högutbildad än de som stöder den svenska vänstern, som mest förknippas med den gamla arbetarrörelsen. Men det är tvärt emot här, som artikeln nedan visar. Här stöds högern av de lågutbildade medan de högutbildade är vänster. Vad betyder det för den svenska högerns framtid?
Driven by that current, the most important changes in voting patterns this year are less likely to reverse the trends of 2000 than to push even further in the same direction — with Democrats increasingly relying on upscale and better-educated voters and Republicans gaining among downscale voters mostly on noneconomic issues such as national security.
Four years ago, Bush ran even among voters with a college education. But recent polls show him trailing with that group, largely because he has lost support among college-educated men, traditionally a Republican constituency.
Bush may offset those gains by expanding his support among married women without a college education, the so-called “waitress moms” responsive to both his socially conservative and peace-through-strength messages.
These patterns have persisted even though Kerry has centered his economic message on a promise to defend middle-class families and Bush has built his economic agenda around tax cuts that have provided most of their benefits to the most affluent. And the frame Bush has tried to impose on the 2004 election seems designed to accelerate the trends.
Whereas Kerry has generally sought to blur ideological distinctions, Bush has aggressively tried to sharpen them, presenting the election as a choice between a liberal and a conservative. Like most of his policy decisions, Bush’s campaign strategy appears to have been aimed more at broadening his support among conservative-leaning constituencies than expanding his reach to moderates.



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